Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.356851 0.469027 0.591679 0.733728 0.891900 1.061047 1.254117
2025-06-08 0.181118 0.318824 0.489359 0.705395 0.963174 1.254017 1.600810
2025-06-15 0.113942 0.259087 0.457132 0.723286 1.054004 1.438045 1.906131
2025-06-22 0.062082 0.200200 0.411937 0.714425 1.104974 1.570279 2.148130
2025-06-29 0.028015 0.150283 0.366303 0.694902 1.134716 1.670801 2.347309
2025-07-06 0.015694 0.133877 0.365918 0.733263 1.235530 1.855712 2.645306
2025-07-13 0.008538 0.123504 0.372335 0.779339 1.345134 2.050641 2.954806
2025-07-20 0.003643 0.112766 0.375533 0.819212 1.445600 2.233668 3.249637
2025-07-27 0.002085 0.113852 0.399447 0.889509 1.586661 2.467552 3.606410
2025-08-03 0.000474 0.107147 0.407281 0.934850 1.693701 2.658517 3.910925
2025-08-10 NaN 0.089900 0.391185 0.941753 1.747356 2.781295 4.131590
2025-08-17 NaN 0.061002 0.342743 0.893633 1.722480 2.802169 4.225514
2025-08-24 NaN 0.035401 0.291307 0.837881 1.687850 2.813908 4.313954
2025-08-31 NaN 0.021365 0.260911 0.813755 1.696321 2.880728 4.470844
2025-09-07 NaN 0.016087 0.254953 0.831264 1.764264 3.024766 4.723813
2025-09-14 NaN 0.009123 0.235624 0.822218 1.791935 3.114913 4.908472
2025-09-21 NaN 0.003564 0.211502 0.801055 1.799788 3.177552 5.057456
2025-09-28 NaN 0.003054 0.219260 0.842391 1.902428 3.367486 5.368640
2025-10-05 NaN 0.003005 0.231029 0.891888 2.017682 3.574592 5.701967
2025-10-12 NaN 0.002640 0.239469 0.934657 2.122707 3.768028 6.018025
2025-10-19 NaN 0.003865 0.263821 1.009895 2.277724 4.029138 6.420780
2025-10-26 NaN 0.003730 0.274948 1.058325 2.391694 4.234968 6.753086
2025-11-02 NaN 0.001858 0.266060 1.065692 2.442470 4.355420 6.976311